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What Would It Take To Crash Home Prices?
The crash everyone keeps predicting requires conditions we don't have
Feb 14
•
Sam Lawhead
8
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Solvent, Stuck and Squeezed
The three forces holding the American housing market together — and the fracture lines underneath
Feb 10
•
Sam Lawhead
4
Fortress-Level Balance Sheet
Are Fannie and Freddie a fortress...or a house of cards?
Jan 22
•
Sam Lawhead
6
Subsidizing the Bid
How Fannie and Freddie Inflate Housing Prices
Jan 11
•
Sam Lawhead
4
Living It Up At Hotel Conservatorship
“On a dark desert highway, cool wind in my hair...” – The Eagles
Dec 17, 2025
•
Sam Lawhead
2
Decoding the State of Housing: Part I - The Quiet Correction
The For-Sale Market's Quiet Correction
Dec 13, 2025
•
Sam Lawhead
5
The 18-Year Land Cycle: Can We Forecast the Next Market Crash? Pt. II
Part II: When Strategic Competition Trumps Housing Wealth
Nov 23, 2025
•
Sam Lawhead
6
The 18-Year Land Cycle: Can We Forecast the Next Market Crash?
Part I: The Prediction, The Pattern and Why I'm Skeptical
Nov 19, 2025
•
Sam Lawhead
5
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Housing + Markets
Where housing meets macro. I track how capital markets, policy and demographics interact with housing. From the Fed’s balance sheet to your rent roll.
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